Victory 60

Probability question about SuperBowl XLIII?

What are the chances that both Eli and Peyton Manning will lead their teams to SuperBowl XLIII?

The last time the two teams faced each other was Sept. 10, 2006. Also, both brothers have been selected for the 2009 Pro Bowl. This will be Peyton's 9th appearance, while it will be Eli's 1st appearance.

Let's see...
The odds of the Colts winning 3 games and getting to the Super Bowl:
60% chance of wild card victory
50% chance of divisional round victory
40% chance of conference championship victory

Multiply all those together you get a 12% chance that Payton will play in the Superbowl.

The odds of the Giants winning 2 and getting there:
70% chance of divisional round victory
60% chance of conference championship victory

So Eli's odds to get to the Super Bowl are 42%.

For the brothers to both be there, multiply 12% times 42% and you get 5%.

So the probability is 5%.

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6 Victory VForce Sport V6 400 45 60 Spine Aligned Arrows WILL CUT TO LENGTH
6 Victory VForce Sport V6 400 45 60 Spine Aligned Arrows WILL CUT TO LENGTH
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Victory VAP Glue In Point 250 450 60 80 gr 12 pk
Victory VAP Glue In Point 250 450 60 80 gr 12 pk
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1 Dozen Victory V FORCE HV CARBON V6 60 75 lb ARROWS 350 Spine BLAZER VANE 12
1 Dozen Victory V FORCE HV CARBON V6 60 75 lb ARROWS 350 Spine BLAZER VANE 12
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Victory Pink Arrow Project 60 75 shafts 1 dz
Victory Pink Arrow Project 60 75 shafts 1 dz
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6 Victory VForce Sport V6 350 60 75 Spine Aligned Arrows WILL CUT TO LENGTH
6 Victory VForce Sport V6 350 60 75 Spine Aligned Arrows WILL CUT TO LENGTH
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Victory Archery V Force V1 400 45 60 6 Arrows
Victory Archery V Force V1 400 45 60 6 Arrows
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Victory Gander Mountain Techunter Pro Series 350 60 70 LBS Carbon Arrow 6 Pack
Victory Gander Mountain Techunter Pro Series 350 60 70 LBS Carbon Arrow 6 Pack
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Victory Gander Mountain Techunter Pro XP 400 45 60 LBS Carbon Arrow 6 Pack
Victory Gander Mountain Techunter Pro XP 400 45 60 LBS Carbon Arrow 6 Pack
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Victory Gander Mountain Techunter Pro Series 400 45 60 LBS Carbon Arrow 6 Pack
Victory Gander Mountain Techunter Pro Series 400 45 60 LBS Carbon Arrow 6 Pack
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Victory Gander Mountain Techunter Pro XP 350 60 75 LBS Carbon Arrow 6 Pack
Victory Gander Mountain Techunter Pro XP 350 60 75 LBS Carbon Arrow 6 Pack
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1 DZ VICTORY VAP ELITE SHAFTS 166 MICRO DIAMETER FREE NOCKS
1 DZ VICTORY VAP ELITE SHAFTS 166 MICRO DIAMETER FREE NOCKS
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1 2 DOZ Victory V FORCE Carbon ICE Arrows 45 60 LB 400 Spine V1 With BLAZER VANE
1 2 DOZ Victory V FORCE Carbon ICE Arrows 45 60 LB 400 Spine V1 With BLAZER VANE
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6  Victory V FORCE Carbon ICE Arrows 45 60 lb 400 Spine V1 With BLAZER VANE
6 Victory V FORCE Carbon ICE Arrows 45 60 lb 400 Spine V1 With BLAZER VANE
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12  Victory V FORCE Carbon ICE Arrows 45 60 lb 400 Spine V1 With BLAZER VANE
12 Victory V FORCE Carbon ICE Arrows 45 60 lb 400 Spine V1 With BLAZER VANE
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5 pack Used Victory Vforce 245 Sport 350 60 75 V6 Spine Aligned 26 1 2 Long
5 pack Used Victory Vforce 245 Sport 350 60 75 V6 Spine Aligned 26 1 2 Long
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6 0R 12 VICTORY CARBON arrows 350 60 75lb WE WILL CUT THESE TO YOUR LENGTH
6 0R 12 VICTORY CARBON arrows 350 60 75lb WE WILL CUT THESE TO YOUR LENGTH
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Victory Archery ACRIP1264SS 12 RIP SHOK Stainless Steel 204 Insert 60 Grain
Victory Archery ACRIP1264SS 12 RIP SHOK Stainless Steel 204 Insert 60 Grain
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Victory Glue In Points 60 70 80gr for 250300350400450
Victory Glue In Points 60 70 80gr for 250300350400450
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1 dz Victory VForce 400 V6 arrows with   3 lighted nocks   40 60lb
1 dz Victory VForce 400 V6 arrows with 3 lighted nocks 40 60lb
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Victory Archery ACRIP1267SS 12 RIP SHOK Stainless Steel 204 Insert 60 Grain
Victory Archery ACRIP1267SS 12 RIP SHOK Stainless Steel 204 Insert 60 Grain
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Victory Archery ACRIP1260SS 12 RIP SHOK Stainless Steel 204 Insert 60 Grain
Victory Archery ACRIP1260SS 12 RIP SHOK Stainless Steel 204 Insert 60 Grain
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Victory Archery VAP Glue In Points 60 70 80GR 12PK ACVAP215PT1 12
Victory Archery VAP Glue In Points 60 70 80GR 12PK ACVAP215PT1 12
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VICTORY ARCHERY 1 2 DOZEN 29 CARBON ARROWS 45 60LB 400S FREE FIELD POINTS
VICTORY ARCHERY 1 2 DOZEN 29 CARBON ARROWS 45 60LB 400S FREE FIELD POINTS
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VICTORY ARCHERY CARBON ARROWS 1 DOZEN 29 45 60LB 400S FREE FIELD POINTS
VICTORY ARCHERY CARBON ARROWS 1 DOZEN 29 45 60LB 400S FREE FIELD POINTS
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